; IDL Version 7.1 (linux x86_64 m64) ; Journal File for adesai@flux.aos.wisc.edu ; Working directory: /data/code/idl/cheas-desai ; Date: Mon Feb 1 10:42:10 2010 ;Run 0 Site wcr ;Starting Chain 1 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.222300 llmax -3951.44 ; Chain 1 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.396800 llmax -3950.99 ; Chain 1 Converged LL: -3959.77 ; Values: 0.27384235 0.50000000 0.0000000 5.3000002 ; -9.9126630 6.7612311 4120.0040 55.110061 0.088328663 ; 154.44197 0.17365668 11.174701 1.1622478 0.11012639 ; 0.084267812 0.027736903 0.0014179296 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 2 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.202300 llmax -4095.58 ; Chain 2 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.393000 llmax -4095.58 ; Chain 2 Converged LL: -4112.43 ; Values: 0.29146105 0.50000000 0.0000000 5.3000002 ; -0.49959212 8.2483225 4049.8499 114.60179 0.074697147 ; 184.83444 0.050274822 15.523525 0.88121257 0.34847132 ; 0.072839436 0.047910837 0.00088448776 ;Starting Chain 3 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.199400 llmax -4099.97 ; Chain 3 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.393500 llmax -4099.15 ; Chain 3 Converged LL: -4107.14 ; Values: 0.39649498 0.50000000 0.0000000 5.3000002 ; -14.986267 34.359105 3383.5964 17.101377 0.094484227 ; 142.20873 0.15141600 11.033163 0.13415611 0.96371631 ; 0.37836183 0.051954169 0.00059609383 ;Starting Chain 4 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.195300 llmax -4099.78 ; Chain 4 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.397400 llmax -4098.39 ; Chain 4 Converged LL: -4655.57 ; Values: 0.42811328 0.50000000 0.0000000 5.3000002 ; -14.957918 38.878677 3474.0453 61.434061 0.091756085 ; 142.58411 0.15477903 11.099238 0.27366687 0.82140130 ; 0.30643876 0.036238747 0.00013949852 ;Starting Chain 5 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.206800 llmax -4110.26 ; Chain 5 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.394700 llmax -4109.63 ; Chain 5 Converged LL: -4124.76 ; Values: 0.41257967 0.50000000 0.0000000 5.3000002 ; -14.836726 37.420356 3375.1918 41.016597 0.11643057 ; 117.76633 0.18155225 10.955886 0.50976391 0.62355761 ; 0.045307270 0.11725175 0.0026344550 ;Starting Chain 6 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.196500 llmax -4096.88 ; Chain 6 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.409800 llmax -3961.84 ; Chain 6 Converged LL: -3965.22 ; Values: 0.26085750 0.50000000 0.0000000 5.3000002 ; -5.0091731 5.0490401 4089.0998 17.806941 0.12129844 ; 119.52178 0.16999673 11.058543 0.85590907 0.30473747 ; 0.077757069 0.053746547 0.0021486426 ;Final iteration 0 accepted 0 saved 0 ;Final iteration 10000 accepted 4008 saved 0 ;Final iteration 20000 accepted 8114 saved 0 ;Final iteration 30000 accepted 12191 saved 0 ;Final iteration 40000 accepted 16173 saved 0 ;Final iteration 50000 accepted 20276 saved 0 ;Final iteration 60000 accepted 24290 saved 0 ;Final iteration 70000 accepted 28401 saved 0 ;Final iteration 80000 accepted 32478 saved 4077 ;Final iteration 90000 accepted 36556 saved 8155 ;Final iteration 100000 accepted 40733 saved 12332 ;Final iteration 110000 accepted 44815 saved 16414 ;Final iteration 120000 accepted 48929 saved 20528 ;Final iteration 130000 accepted 53057 saved 24656 ;Final iteration 140000 accepted 57144 saved 28743 ;MCMC complete ;Best LL: -3950.05 ;Values: 0.27306682 0.50000000 0.0000000 5.3000002 ; -5.6014047 6.6558647 4125.0874 2.2386045 0.089022055 ; 153.96616 0.18207632 11.298491 1.0078276 0.22338149 ; 0.095406406 0.027538763 6.5592030e-05 ;Run 1 Site umb ;Starting Chain 1 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.223100 llmax -3210.03 ; Chain 1 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.392600 llmax -3208.21 ; Chain 1 Converged LL: -3213.23 ; Values: 0.26255266 0.50000000 0.0000000 3.7000000 ; -14.428439 10.467472 3827.4766 89.306920 0.13886220 ; 111.19787 0.14819201 8.9761342 0.68052413 0.43782926 ; 0.067961640 0.037312342 0.0067589451 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 2 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.221700 llmax -3210.10 ; Chain 2 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.394200 llmax -3208.42 ; Chain 2 Converged LL: -3211.20 ; Values: 0.26323483 0.50000000 0.0000000 3.7000000 ; -11.782976 11.601043 3877.7678 40.407487 0.13923575 ; 111.39628 0.15238780 9.0969151 0.75178666 0.37149842 ; 0.065483739 0.051050493 0.00014695539 ;Starting Chain 3 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.206000 llmax -3178.55 ; Chain 3 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.393300 llmax -3178.47 ; Chain 3 Converged LL: -3180.30 ; Values: 0.38566699 0.50000000 0.0000000 3.7000000 ; -14.974059 33.050847 3212.6366 76.087231 0.14032163 ; 105.05140 0.16045177 9.0536219 0.10423017 0.95987287 ; 0.39079641 0.046592865 6.5619660e-05 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 4 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.208400 llmax -3196.24 ; Chain 4 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.394200 llmax -3195.44 ; Chain 4 Converged LL: -3206.99 ; Values: 0.44632406 0.50000000 0.0000000 3.7000000 ; -14.598380 37.263924 2991.5375 8.7673046 0.13526448 ; 103.70062 0.15638819 9.1161453 0.74793099 0.39429774 ; 0.051067737 0.093338245 0.0010852670 ;Starting Chain 5 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.207700 llmax -3184.50 ; Chain 5 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.394300 llmax -3183.83 ; Chain 5 Converged LL: -3186.42 ; Values: 0.37160860 0.50000000 0.0000000 3.7000000 ; -14.922498 30.778855 3238.4798 52.623581 0.14779991 ; 103.81181 0.23546922 7.3556837 0.12821823 0.96556333 ; 0.33177078 0.045484994 0.0015788812 ;Starting Chain 6 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.205800 llmax -3196.38 ; Chain 6 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.397200 llmax -3195.20 ; Chain 6 Converged LL: -3201.19 ; Values: 0.37729838 0.50000000 0.0000000 3.7000000 ; -14.994068 34.607259 3207.8337 224.36267 0.14204508 ; 104.25466 0.16411205 9.1484452 0.44556758 0.61967627 ; 0.034665785 0.086718464 0.00081623554 ;Final iteration 0 accepted 0 saved 0 ;Final iteration 10000 accepted 4177 saved 0 ;Final iteration 20000 accepted 8439 saved 0 ;Final iteration 30000 accepted 12536 saved 0 ;Final iteration 40000 accepted 16796 saved 0 ;Final iteration 50000 accepted 21030 saved 0 ;Final iteration 60000 accepted 25258 saved 0 ;Final iteration 70000 accepted 29500 saved 0 ;Final iteration 80000 accepted 33630 saved 4130 ;Final iteration 90000 accepted 37902 saved 8402 ;Final iteration 100000 accepted 42140 saved 12640 ;Final iteration 110000 accepted 46248 saved 16748 ;Final iteration 120000 accepted 50299 saved 20799 ;Final iteration 130000 accepted 54462 saved 24962 ;Final iteration 140000 accepted 58561 saved 29061 ;MCMC complete ;Best LL: -3178.01 ;Values: 0.44134461 0.50000000 0.0000000 3.7000000 ; -14.961766 39.110221 3143.9447 73.855251 0.14225338 ; 107.08656 0.16470104 8.9884107 0.10818602 0.95019533 ; 0.38117154 0.043799651 0.00071832716 ;Run 2 Site syl ;Starting Chain 1 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.236800 llmax -2050.33 ; Chain 1 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.397500 llmax -2049.83 ; Chain 1 Converged LL: -3725.71 ; Values: 0.20576294 0.50000000 0.52999997 4.0599999 ; 5.5839591 5.5849931 4412.3898 4.6170609 0.17976888 ; 83.261604 0.11470290 9.4292019 0.25880030 1.6478670 ; 0.034283456 0.052810670 0.00028024317 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 2 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.221900 llmax -2066.12 ; Chain 2 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.396800 llmax -2063.24 ; Chain 2 Converged LL: -2068.97 ; Values: 0.38182930 0.50000000 0.52999997 4.0599999 ; -12.573277 35.802051 3471.4173 31.195675 0.057651668 ; 142.40795 0.052395987 18.126236 0.17357579 1.5237691 ; 0.26134942 0.069260104 0.022327355 ;Starting Chain 3 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.240800 llmax -1996.55 ; Chain 3 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.397000 llmax -1989.77 ; Chain 3 Converged LL: -1996.21 ; Values: 0.32702475 0.50000000 0.52999997 4.0599999 ; -14.151053 36.499570 3430.1673 142.35798 0.19531886 ; 83.933257 0.079512422 9.3912510 0.23797428 1.3856876 ; 0.084834902 0.087523529 0.011336495 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 4 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.249800 llmax -1999.88 ; Chain 4 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.390200 llmax -1989.70 ; Chain 4 Converged LL: -1996.60 ; Values: 0.29056850 0.50000000 0.52999997 4.0599999 ; -13.494010 29.305575 3441.2970 74.232703 0.23881933 ; 78.356111 0.11063968 9.7107589 0.12462107 1.5468927 ; 0.056545463 0.082477492 0.026288623 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 5 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.208300 llmax -2058.27 ; Chain 5 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.395500 llmax -2055.79 ; Chain 5 Converged LL: -2065.45 ; Values: 0.37230772 0.50000000 0.52999997 4.0599999 ; -8.5171071 28.104079 2759.2937 41.096609 0.071673273 ; 138.38910 0.050004275 15.428780 0.14190641 1.5488381 ; 0.35327987 0.072636632 0.0084660412 ;Starting Chain 6 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.208600 llmax -2056.31 ; Chain 6 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.394500 llmax -2055.77 ; Chain 6 Converged LL: -2060.42 ; Values: 0.40645850 0.50000000 0.52999997 4.0599999 ; -11.633838 35.364911 2788.4074 132.97772 0.075272021 ; 137.79503 0.050402921 15.228865 0.26251047 1.4233597 ; 0.23102963 0.066612545 0.0080501469 ;Final iteration 0 accepted 0 saved 0 ;Final iteration 10000 accepted 4001 saved 0 ;Final iteration 20000 accepted 8067 saved 0 ;Final iteration 30000 accepted 12001 saved 0 ;Final iteration 40000 accepted 15970 saved 0 ;Final iteration 50000 accepted 19869 saved 0 ;Final iteration 60000 accepted 23836 saved 0 ;Final iteration 70000 accepted 27847 saved 0 ;Final iteration 80000 accepted 31856 saved 4009 ;Final iteration 90000 accepted 35853 saved 8006 ;Final iteration 100000 accepted 39916 saved 12069 ;Final iteration 110000 accepted 43834 saved 15987 ;Final iteration 120000 accepted 47742 saved 19895 ;Final iteration 130000 accepted 51752 saved 23905 ;Final iteration 140000 accepted 55756 saved 27909 ;MCMC complete ;Best LL: -1987.57 ;Values: 0.28633026 0.50000000 0.52999997 4.0599999 ; -13.976974 29.473378 3565.4578 18.494152 0.19511278 ; 81.083736 0.097698222 9.6040390 0.12477124 1.5509891 ; 0.15947276 0.081140437 0.00012777034 ;Run 3 Site lcr ;Starting Chain 1 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.208500 llmax -2549.32 ; Chain 1 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.395800 llmax -2549.32 ; Chain 1 Converged LL: -2555.38 ; Values: 0.16752351 0.50000000 0.0000000 4.9000001 ; 7.2489461 8.0339528 5502.6724 39.186173 0.077048329 ; 148.09328 0.063755614 12.694545 0.65695526 0.60450145 ; 0.094442555 0.050845399 0.0089657202 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 2 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.194100 llmax -2526.47 ; Chain 2 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.396300 llmax -2526.47 ; Chain 2 Converged LL: -2530.60 ; Values: 0.29384119 0.50000000 0.0000000 4.9000001 ; -14.797417 37.490449 3602.1382 146.64185 0.092772219 ; 148.34975 0.050034995 14.824674 0.32251849 0.61935463 ; 0.13190542 0.080864463 0.062967868 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 3 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.190700 llmax -2546.20 ; Chain 3 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.392300 llmax -2546.20 ; Chain 3 Converged LL: -2552.72 ; Values: 0.27048878 0.50000000 0.0000000 4.9000001 ; -14.968755 32.427882 3655.0989 32.151376 0.094048190 ; 156.18880 0.050128230 15.029700 0.18154366 0.70797150 ; 0.14566543 0.085277174 0.059747922 ;Starting Chain 4 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.207300 llmax -2552.27 ; Chain 4 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.395500 llmax -2551.06 ; Chain 4 Converged LL: -2554.31 ; Values: 0.25980394 0.50000000 0.0000000 4.9000001 ; -14.431451 37.832239 4109.7445 43.098830 0.076322645 ; 146.03216 0.061762040 12.944889 0.54183421 0.66769935 ; 0.12229760 0.083649337 0.011317732 ;Starting Chain 5 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.214000 llmax -2551.06 ; Chain 5 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.395100 llmax -2549.80 ; Chain 5 Converged LL: -2554.13 ; Values: 0.16993899 0.50000000 0.0000000 4.9000001 ; 7.4101546 8.8435020 5322.4912 81.481493 0.077663487 ; 149.00340 0.063923095 13.135492 0.71680051 0.51647432 ; 0.094313330 0.050559246 0.031860437 ;Starting Chain 6 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.210100 llmax -2479.30 ; Chain 6 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.399800 llmax -2476.06 ; Chain 6 Converged LL: -2483.86 ; Values: 0.22547505 0.50000000 0.0000000 4.9000001 ; -11.484468 37.592373 3723.9239 362.82292 0.21167683 ; 80.083631 0.10919551 11.358136 0.43675346 0.66008125 ; 0.10839014 0.087786703 0.034386680 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Final iteration 0 accepted 0 saved 0 ;Final iteration 10000 accepted 3918 saved 0 ;Final iteration 20000 accepted 7842 saved 0 ;Final iteration 30000 accepted 11799 saved 0 ;Final iteration 40000 accepted 15778 saved 0 ;Final iteration 50000 accepted 19725 saved 0 ;Final iteration 60000 accepted 23560 saved 0 ;Final iteration 70000 accepted 27635 saved 0 ;Final iteration 80000 accepted 31592 saved 3957 ;Final iteration 90000 accepted 35571 saved 7936 ;Final iteration 100000 accepted 39452 saved 11817 ;Final iteration 110000 accepted 43441 saved 15806 ;Final iteration 120000 accepted 47404 saved 19769 ;Final iteration 130000 accepted 51264 saved 23629 ;Final iteration 140000 accepted 55262 saved 27627 ;MCMC complete ;Best LL: -2475.71 ;Values: 0.19496115 0.50000000 0.0000000 4.9000001 ; -10.972319 32.141709 3893.3900 421.42493 0.20551627 ; 80.734835 0.090629885 11.366803 0.54807929 0.64897133 ; 0.10906907 0.087918383 0.012087354 ;Run 4 Site lef ;Starting Chain 1 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.236900 llmax -2749.48 ; Chain 1 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.389400 llmax -2747.25 ; Chain 1 Converged LL: -2750.87 ; Values: 0.21736533 0.50000000 0.50000000 3.7000000 ; -13.913014 19.871430 3151.7751 8.9029003 0.14299117 ; 131.35926 0.091462942 10.756503 0.59369851 0.94661989 ; 0.17107537 0.076803476 0.084279074 ; And it is the best chain so far! ;Starting Chain 2 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.222500 llmax -2772.50 ; Chain 2 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.396300 llmax -2772.50 ; Chain 2 Converged LL: -2788.80 ; Values: 0.25086413 0.50000000 0.50000000 3.7000000 ; -13.567934 30.544125 3057.6651 118.11826 0.18086468 ; 111.21880 0.11046615 8.7282977 0.56945819 0.75921926 ; 0.068638801 0.12974275 0.075816737 ;Starting Chain 3 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.227600 llmax -2774.13 ; Chain 3 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.402300 llmax -2774.13 ; Chain 3 Converged LL: -2782.89 ; Values: 0.30776971 0.50000000 0.50000000 3.7000000 ; -14.360750 37.653667 3033.9071 36.547784 0.16379637 ; 124.01818 0.081832385 10.693175 0.72171876 0.74348845 ; 0.092581332 0.13039181 0.062171285 ;Starting Chain 4 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.233700 llmax -2778.05 ; Chain 4 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.388200 llmax -2772.74 ; Chain 4 Converged LL: -2785.01 ; Values: 0.25699622 0.50000000 0.50000000 3.7000000 ; -13.645574 29.121496 3146.3271 19.937494 0.19570277 ; 111.22411 0.18077162 9.2308082 0.71058350 0.71358448 ; 0.085190603 0.12763605 0.090711357 ;Starting Chain 5 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.217700 llmax -2778.31 ; Chain 5 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.400000 llmax -2777.07 ; Chain 5 Converged LL: -2779.77 ; Values: 0.29225065 0.50000000 0.50000000 3.7000000 ; -14.172654 35.118441 3140.6055 39.091648 0.12887839 ; 131.50404 0.11509839 10.184295 0.96341807 0.56142512 ; 0.092205880 0.14289907 0.056492613 ;Starting Chain 6 ; iteration 10000 accept 0.221600 llmax -2777.87 ; Chain 6 not yet converged ; iteration 20000 accept 0.398200 llmax -2777.12 ; Chain 6 Converged LL: -2793.04 ; Values: 0.31881616 0.50000000 0.50000000 3.7000000 ; -14.997668 39.462231 3072.5512 63.973603 0.16123219 ; 131.39299 0.12809540 10.038295 0.94893054 0.54302718 ; 0.088907564 0.14435831 0.070611223 ;Final iteration 0 accepted 0 saved 0 ;Final iteration 10000 accepted 4025 saved 0 ;Final iteration 20000 accepted 7919 saved 0 ;Final iteration 30000 accepted 12198 saved 0 ;Final iteration 40000 accepted 16563 saved 0 ;Final iteration 50000 accepted 20939 saved 0 ;Final iteration 60000 accepted 25157 saved 0 ;Final iteration 70000 accepted 29477 saved 0 ;Final iteration 80000 accepted 33841 saved 4364 ;Final iteration 90000 accepted 38225 saved 8748 ;Final iteration 100000 accepted 42586 saved 13109 ;Final iteration 110000 accepted 46909 saved 17432 ;Final iteration 120000 accepted 51305 saved 21828 ;Final iteration 130000 accepted 55629 saved 26152 ;Final iteration 140000 accepted 59935 saved 30458 ;MCMC complete ;Best LL: -2738.85 ;Values: 0.19318978 0.50000000 0.50000000 3.7000000 ; -3.5153947 10.991451 3571.3538 0.19146316 0.15953140 ; 131.54510 0.13539912 10.235861 0.72676677 0.71414465 ; 0.11110970 0.087248959 0.099460714 ; % Program caused arithmetic error: Floating underflow